Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.001138 0.001232 0.001332 0.001448 0.001577 0.001718 0.001884
2026-02-01 0.000969 0.001090 0.001226 0.001391 0.001588 0.001818 0.002108
2026-02-08 0.000863 0.000996 0.001152 0.001350 0.001596 0.001897 0.002299
2026-02-15 0.000795 0.000938 0.001110 0.001334 0.001625 0.001995 0.002516
2026-02-22 0.000733 0.000879 0.001059 0.001300 0.001622 0.002048 0.002672
2026-03-01 0.000673 0.000818 0.001000 0.001249 0.001591 0.002056 0.002762
2026-03-08 0.000635 0.000782 0.000969 0.001231 0.001600 0.002117 0.002931
2026-03-15 0.000599 0.000745 0.000935 0.001206 0.001596 0.002157 0.003071
2026-03-22 0.000551 0.000692 0.000875 0.001140 0.001528 0.002096 0.003045
2026-03-29 0.000522 0.000661 0.000844 0.001113 0.001513 0.002114 0.003144
2026-04-05 0.000511 0.000654 0.000845 0.001131 0.001567 0.002239 0.003435
2026-04-12 0.000495 0.000639 0.000834 0.001131 0.001591 0.002319 0.003657
2026-04-19 0.000534 0.000704 0.000944 0.001323 0.001941 0.002985 0.005086
2026-04-26 0.000499 0.000663 0.000897 0.001272 0.001896 0.002975 0.005223
2026-05-03 0.000471 0.000630 0.000861 0.001235 0.001870 0.002997 0.005428
2026-05-10 0.000451 0.000609 0.000840 0.001221 0.001882 0.003086 0.005796
2026-05-17 0.000428 0.000583 0.000810 0.001191 0.001862 0.003113 0.006029
2026-05-24 0.000404 0.000553 0.000773 0.001146 0.001811 0.003076 0.006102
2026-05-31 0.000389 0.000535 0.000754 0.001130 0.001812 0.003139 0.006435
2026-06-07 0.000373 0.000516 0.000732 0.001108 0.001799 0.003175 0.006705
2026-06-14 0.000350 0.000485 0.000691 0.001049 0.001713 0.003047 0.006520
2026-06-21 0.000335 0.000467 0.000670 0.001025 0.001692 0.003055 0.006707
2026-06-28 0.000331 0.000464 0.000671 0.001041 0.001750 0.003243 0.007447